Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.206474 0.238982 0.274915 0.317580 0.366863 0.422015 0.488442
2025-09-14 0.150211 0.192355 0.243777 0.311141 0.397114 0.503245 0.644374
2025-09-21 0.121178 0.166447 0.225597 0.308557 0.422011 0.571926 0.785456
2025-09-28 0.103351 0.150320 0.215217 0.311452 0.450700 0.645196 0.938206
2025-10-05 0.093784 0.143338 0.215200 0.327033 0.496953 0.745976 1.139811
2025-10-12 0.084940 0.135709 0.212590 0.337514 0.535811 0.839186 1.340309
2025-10-19 0.077193 0.128431 0.209149 0.345586 0.570981 0.929618 1.546034
2025-10-26 0.069742 0.120472 0.203366 0.348698 0.597833 1.008917 1.741964
2025-11-02 0.062174 0.111237 0.194200 0.344713 0.611816 1.067791 1.909383
2025-11-09 0.054552 0.100886 0.181804 0.333424 0.611418 1.101445 2.035759
2025-11-16 0.050833 0.097009 0.180158 0.340800 0.644597 1.196642 2.282154
2025-11-23 0.046811 0.092050 0.175923 0.342764 0.667736 1.275625 2.506603
2025-11-30 0.043488 0.088112 0.173289 0.347735 0.697681 1.371502 2.776626
2025-12-07 0.039115 0.081593 0.165009 0.340768 0.703617 1.422250 2.964294
2025-12-14 0.035719 0.076627 0.159180 0.337937 0.717305 1.489291 3.192014
2025-12-21 0.033297 0.073389 0.156450 0.341108 0.743575 1.584246 3.488313
2025-12-28 0.032376 0.073246 0.160100 0.358172 0.801126 1.750028 3.955063
2026-01-04 0.031014 0.071965 0.161159 0.369651 0.847683 1.897094 4.397064
2026-01-11 0.029540 0.070249 0.161063 0.378491 0.889228 2.037385 4.839412
2026-01-18 0.027781 0.067664 0.158728 0.381899 0.918617 2.153370 5.238311
2026-01-25 0.025644 0.063931 0.153354 0.377535 0.929192 2.227188 5.545159
2026-02-01 0.023200 0.059168 0.145048 0.365171 0.919100 2.251355 5.733737
2026-02-08 0.022216 0.057927 0.145053 0.373249 0.960165 2.402296 6.254847